The hot summer has passed and the price of pork has rarely appeared to "cool down." However, some pig farmers believe that the pork price is only a short-term phenomenon. Behind the downward adjustment of prices, there is a tendency of “preventing and retreatingâ€.
Loose meat prices appeared. New wholesale pigs listed in batches According to the data provided by the Beijing Xinfadi Market, since September, the high oscillations of pork lasting for several months have finally shown signs of loosening and prices have stabilized; The breeding company was informed that the purchase price of pork in the surrounding areas of Beijing and most parts of northern China has also declined, and the purchase prices in Shandong, Henan, and other places have dropped to RMB 19 to 19.5 per kilogram.
According to a survey by the reporter, this time the price of pork is mainly affected by two major factors. First of all, the slow season for pork sales in September was a drop in demand; on the other hand, the first batch of piglets that were replenished by major farms in April was being slaughtered. In the first half of the year, due to diseases and other factors, the piglet slaughter rate was only about 50%, and piglets that had been covered after the middle or late April had not been affected by the disease, guaranteeing the slaughter rate.
However, for the fall in the price of pork, some pig farmers think that it is only a short-term phenomenon, and its countermeasure is to delay the slaughter period by means of fattening and other measures, and pin their hopes on the pork consumption season after November. More farmers are struggling to keep high aquaculture costs and market turmoil and adopt a wait-and-see attitude.
High piglets and high feed prices farmers do not dare to expand farming "The price of piglets has gone up." A farmer in Shandong told reporters that "the breeding sows are not enough, it is difficult to make up the bar." Another Henan farmer said In the past, pigs that had grown from 220 pounds to 230 pounds had been slaughtered. "Now we have raised 250 pounds or even more to sell."
For the pork market in the coming months, farmers generally believe that prices “will hardly return to higher levels before the Spring Festivalâ€. Hebei farmer Mr. Zheng believes that under the current situation where the price of piglets and feedstuffs remains high, “blindly expanding the farming area is likely to cause greater risksâ€.
Concomitant with this scrupulous situation is the fact that the number of sows that can breed in each farm is small and difficult to supplement. According to the reporter's knowledge, sows used for breeding have higher requirements in breeding and can not produce meat during the breeding process; and the benefits can only be reflected in piglets born later, so they need to have confidence in the market. The current pork market is relatively turbulent and has a tendency to fall, making most farmers have concerns about the market prospects.
The sows still have a shortage of meat prices or pick up during the peak season. “In terms of current piglet prices, we should really raise some sows to control the cost,†Mr. Zheng told reporters. “But for the months after the market, no one is sure. Now that you are raising a sow, you may be earning a few months later or you may lose a lot. What's more, many newcomers are only paying a premium and are definitely not considering raising sows."
The reporters found that although the arrival of a large number of new pigs and off-season consumption will cause the price of pigs to drop for a short period of time, new farmers are pursuing short-term gains. Most of them do not raise breeding sows. We would like to enter again. In the long run, hog supply is still very tight. The decline in the price of pork in the month of September is likely to become another “dig downâ€.
According to the information released by the Xinshidi Market Statistics Department, pork prices are likely to rise again after the long consumer season from November to the Spring Festival.
Loose meat prices appeared. New wholesale pigs listed in batches According to the data provided by the Beijing Xinfadi Market, since September, the high oscillations of pork lasting for several months have finally shown signs of loosening and prices have stabilized; The breeding company was informed that the purchase price of pork in the surrounding areas of Beijing and most parts of northern China has also declined, and the purchase prices in Shandong, Henan, and other places have dropped to RMB 19 to 19.5 per kilogram.
According to a survey by the reporter, this time the price of pork is mainly affected by two major factors. First of all, the slow season for pork sales in September was a drop in demand; on the other hand, the first batch of piglets that were replenished by major farms in April was being slaughtered. In the first half of the year, due to diseases and other factors, the piglet slaughter rate was only about 50%, and piglets that had been covered after the middle or late April had not been affected by the disease, guaranteeing the slaughter rate.
However, for the fall in the price of pork, some pig farmers think that it is only a short-term phenomenon, and its countermeasure is to delay the slaughter period by means of fattening and other measures, and pin their hopes on the pork consumption season after November. More farmers are struggling to keep high aquaculture costs and market turmoil and adopt a wait-and-see attitude.
High piglets and high feed prices farmers do not dare to expand farming "The price of piglets has gone up." A farmer in Shandong told reporters that "the breeding sows are not enough, it is difficult to make up the bar." Another Henan farmer said In the past, pigs that had grown from 220 pounds to 230 pounds had been slaughtered. "Now we have raised 250 pounds or even more to sell."
For the pork market in the coming months, farmers generally believe that prices “will hardly return to higher levels before the Spring Festivalâ€. Hebei farmer Mr. Zheng believes that under the current situation where the price of piglets and feedstuffs remains high, “blindly expanding the farming area is likely to cause greater risksâ€.
Concomitant with this scrupulous situation is the fact that the number of sows that can breed in each farm is small and difficult to supplement. According to the reporter's knowledge, sows used for breeding have higher requirements in breeding and can not produce meat during the breeding process; and the benefits can only be reflected in piglets born later, so they need to have confidence in the market. The current pork market is relatively turbulent and has a tendency to fall, making most farmers have concerns about the market prospects.
The sows still have a shortage of meat prices or pick up during the peak season. “In terms of current piglet prices, we should really raise some sows to control the cost,†Mr. Zheng told reporters. “But for the months after the market, no one is sure. Now that you are raising a sow, you may be earning a few months later or you may lose a lot. What's more, many newcomers are only paying a premium and are definitely not considering raising sows."
The reporters found that although the arrival of a large number of new pigs and off-season consumption will cause the price of pigs to drop for a short period of time, new farmers are pursuing short-term gains. Most of them do not raise breeding sows. We would like to enter again. In the long run, hog supply is still very tight. The decline in the price of pork in the month of September is likely to become another “dig downâ€.
According to the information released by the Xinshidi Market Statistics Department, pork prices are likely to rise again after the long consumer season from November to the Spring Festival.
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